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Forex Expert

on Wed May 31, 2017 11:59 am
USD/JPY: general analysis
2017-05-31 11:40 (GMT+2) USD/JPY

Current trend

After the retest of the support level of 110.66 the USD/JPY pair was corrected to the area of 111.22, but couldn’t consolidate above it. The pair is pressed by positive Japan Industrial Production data. According to the publication, the YoY index grew to 5.7% in April from 3.5% in the previous month. The MoM index grew to 4.0% in April from -1.9% in the previous month.

Today the USA FRS Beige book publication is worth traders’ attention. If the report reflects positive state of the USA economy, the USD/JPY pair will get a significant support. Otherwise the pair will lower further.

Support and resistance

Technical indicators reflect that the sellers’ positions are still strong.

Bollinger Bands are converging, confirming the current downward trend. MACD histogram is in the negative zone; its volumes are rising slightly, giving a signal of the growing sellers’ influence. The breakdown of the level 110.66 will be a signal of the continuation of the downward trend. In this case the nearest target for the sellers will become the level of 110.02.

If the “bulls” seize the initiative and increase the price above the level of 111.22, the price will grow to the area of 111.60, 112.16.

Support levels: 110.66, 110.02, 109.35.
Resistance levels: 111.22, 111.60, 112.60.





Trading scenario

Sell the pair below the level of 110.66 with the target at around 110.02 and stop loss at 110.86.
Buy the pair above the level of 111.22 with the target at around 111.80 and stop loss at 111.00.

Scenario

Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 110.60
Take Profit 110.02
Stop Loss 110.86
Key Levels 109.35, 110.02, 110.66, 111.22, 111.60, 112.60
Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 111.30
Take Profit 111.80
Stop Loss 111.00
Key Levels 109.35, 110.02, 110.66, 111.22, 111.60, 112.60


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
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BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Wed May 31, 2017 12:58 pm
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG/NASD/S&P500)
2017-05-31 12:40 (GMT+2) Stocks

Industry: information internet provider

Fundamental analysis

According to the research agency CB Insights, in the 1 quarter of the current year IT giants purchased 34 start-ups in the artificial intelligence field, which exceed the indicator of the corresponding period of the last year twice. From 2012 the leader in this field is Alphabet Inc., which has invested the biggest sums into 11 startups, leaving behind such companies as Apple, Facebook and Intel. In the nearest years Alphabet Inc. Plans to make an expansion into the artificial intelligence field in the medicine and retail segments.

During the last week Alphabet Inc. stocks grew by 3.61% against the lowering of the S&P 500 index by 0.09%.

The comparative analysis between the indicators of the company and its competitors suggest that the stocks are underpriced.

Key levels

The buyers aggressively prevail. During the last month the growth of the stocks exceeded 7.5%. Yesterday during the trading session the issuer met the local resistance at the level of 976.00. The nearest support level is at 968.00. The trade instrument has formed a classical figure of the technical analysis “upward triangle”, which often reflects the continuation of the trend. The technical picture is mixed. However the growth is predicted.

Support levels: 968.00, 952.00.
Resistance levels: 976.00.


Trading scenario

If the price is set above the local resistance at 976.00, find entering points to open long positions. Fix the potential profit partially at the levels of 981.00, 985.50, 990.00. Stop loss is at 970.00.

Implementation period: 2 days.

Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 976.10
Take Profit 981.00, 985.50, 990.00
Stop Loss 970.00
Key Levels 952.00, 968.00, 976.00


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Wed May 31, 2017 8:35 pm
AUD/USD: Ichimoku clouds
2017-05-31 20:31 (GMT+2) AUD/USD



Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is above Kijun-sen, the red line is directed upwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading below Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bearish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (0.74221). The closest resistance level is Kijun-sen line (0.74467).


On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is above Kijun-sen, the blue line is directed downwards, while the red one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument has broken down Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (0.73423). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (0.74606).

Recommendation
On the both charts the instrument is still falling. It is recommended to open short positions at current price with Take Profit at the level of previous minimum of Chikou Span line (0.74221) and Stop Loss at the level of Kijun-sen line (0.74467).

Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation SELL
Entry Point 0.74316
Take Profit 0.74221
Stop Loss 0.74467
Key Levels 0.74221, 0.73423, 0.74467, 0.74606


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Thu Jun 01, 2017 8:57 am
USD/JPY: wave analysis
2017-06-01 08:54 (GMT+2) USD/JPY

The pair can lower.

The downward correction ii of C, within which the zigzag (a)(b)(c) is developing, is forming. Locally the wave (с), within which the first wave of the lower level i of (c) has formed, is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will lower to the level of 109.50 after the end of the correction ii. The level of 111.92 is critical for this scenario.





Trading scenario

Sell the pair from the correction below the level of 111.92 with the target at 109.40.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 111.92 will let the pair to grow to the level of 112.80.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation SELL
Entry Point 111.00
Take Profit 109.40
Stop Loss 111.70
Key Levels 109.40, 111.92, 112.80

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 112.00
Take Profit 112.80
Stop Loss 111.40
Key Levels 109.40, 111.92, 112.80


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Thu Jun 01, 2017 12:19 pm
GBP/USD: general review
2017-06-01 12:16 (GMT+2) GBP/USD

Current trend

The rate of GBP/USD attempted to grow yesterday movin away from the support level of 1.2768 but met resistance at 1.2920. After downward correction to the level of the middle line of Bollinger Bands (1.2840) the rate, according to technical indicators, is ready to try the resistance level of 1.2920 once again. Bollinger Bands are pointing upwards. 

MACD histogram is in positive zone, its volume is increasin, indicating that there still is growth potential. Breaking through the level of 1.2920 and consolidation above it will be the indication for the continuation of growth. In this case growth will continue to 1.2975. If the sellers take the initiative and drop the rate below the lower line of Bollinger Band (1.2840), the fall will continue to 1.2768.

Today's highlights among macroeconomic releases come from the USA. ADP report on the level of employment in the private sector is due at 14:15 (GMT+2), and information on initial jobless claims for the week — at 14:30 (GMT+2). Today's statistics hints at tomorrow's official data on the number of new nonfarm payrolls (14:30 GMT+2). 

If the data appears to be better than forecasts, the pair GBP/USD will get under pressure in the short term. The main focus for the investors will be tomorrow's data on the US labor market. This data is extremely important for the market, as FOMC takes them into account when increasing the interest rate. For the regulator to increase the interest rate at its June meeting, tomorrow's labor market statistics should be better than expected.

Support and resistance
Support levels: 1.2840, 1.2810, 1.2768.
Resistance levels: 1.2920, 1.2975, 1.3042.





Trading tips
Sell positions may be opened below 1.2840 with targets at 1.2810, 1.2768 and stop-loss at 1.2865.
Buy positions may be opened above 1.2910 with targets at 1.2975 and stop-loss at 1.2985.


Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 1.2830
Take Profit 1.2810, 1.2768
Stop Loss 1.2865
Key Levels 1.2768, 1.2810, 1.2840, 1.2920, 1.2975, 1.3042

Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Fri Jun 02, 2017 8:34 pm
XAU/USD: Fibonacci analysis
2017-06-02 15:43 (GMT+2) Gold

On the 4-hour chart the price is testing the upper border of the sideway channel 1273.70-1259.80 (corrections 0.0% and 23.6%), within which the price is trading for a week. The breakout of the 1273.70 will let the price to grow to April maxima to the area of 1292.00. In case of the breakdown of the correction cluster 1262.30-1259.80 the price can lower to the level of 1253.00 (correction 50.0% for the middle term trend) and to correction cluster 1244.00.

On the daily chart the price is growing, consolidated above the level of 1254.00 (correction 23.6%), the level of 1293.20 (correction 0.0%). In case of the reversal and breakdown of the level of 1254.00 the price can lower to the level of 1230.00 (correction 38.2%). However Stochastic is reversing upwards again, so the growth of the price is predicted.



Trading scenario

Open long positions if the price is set above the level of 1273.70 with the target at 1292.00. Stop loss is around 1267.50.

Alternative scenario

Sell the pair if the price is set below the level of 1259.80 with the target at 1253.00, 1244.00 and stop loss at 1263.00.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 1273.80
Take Profit 1292.00
Stop Loss 1267.50
Key Levels 1230.00, 1244.00, 1254.00, 1259.80, 1262.30, 1273.70, 1292.00, 1293.20


Alternative scenario

Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 1259.70
Take Profit 1253.00, 1244.00
Stop Loss 1263.00
Key Levels 1230.00, 1244.00, 1254.00, 1259.80, 1262.30, 1273.70, 1292.00, 1293.20


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Wed Jun 07, 2017 10:18 pm
FDAX: Ichimoku clouds
2017-06-07 21:18 (GMT+2) FDAX



Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed downwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is approaching the price chart from above, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading around upper border of the cloud. The closest support level is the upper border of the cloud (12663.3). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (12699.1).



On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is above Kijun-sen, the blue line is directed upwards, while the red one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is approaching the price chart from above, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen lines have become support (12677.2) and resistance (12704.0) levels respectively
Recommendation

On the four-hour chart we can see a correction of the upward movement. On the daily chart the Bullish trend is still strong. It is recommended to open long positions at current price with the target at the level of previous maximum of Chikou Span line (12708.3) and Stop Loss at the upper border of the cloud (12663.3).

Scenario

  • Timeframe Intraday
  • Recommendation BUY
  • Entry Point 12677.3
  • Take Profit 12708.3
  • Stop Loss 12663.3
  • Key Levels 12663.3, 12699.1, 12708.3


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Thu Jun 29, 2017 10:53 pm
EUR/USD: the pair may start the correction
2017-06-29 12:35 (GMT+2) EUR/USD
Current trend

Today the pair reached the level of 1.1430. Euro continues to strengthen in view of Mario Draghi's statement about the restoration of the European economy and the necessity to monitor the situation for possible changes to the ECB policy. On Wednesday the representatives of the regulator tried to calm the market down by stating that investors had misinterpreted the words of the head of ECB and that there would be no tightening of the monetary policy in the near future. However, the pair's correction after that was short-term, and EUR went up again.

The weakening of the US currency was caused by a number of other factors. The postponement of the vote on the medical reform in the Senate indicates the continuation of instability in US administrative structures and possible difficulties in the implementation of the future tax reform. Dollar was under additional pressure from the statement by the head of the Bank of England Mark Carney about possible winding up of monetary stimulation in the near future.

On Tuesday attention should be paid to the release of the data on US GDP in Q1 2017. The indicator is likely to meet the forecasts and to make up 1.2%.

Support and resistance

The price has reached the support level of 1.1430 and is trading around the upper border of the upward channel (D1). Moreover, it has reached the upper border of the wide lateral range that it has been testing since March 2015 (W1) without success. In these circumstances one should be cautious about opening long positions, although there is potential of movement to the levels of 1.1530 and 1.1610. 

The correction of the price to the levels of 1.1250 (middle line of Bollinger Bands) and 1.1170 (Fibo correction 23.6%) is more likely. Technical indicators also show possible beginning of correction. Stochastic has reached the overbought zone. MACD histogram is growing in the positive zone but shows signs of "bullish" divergence with the price chart.

Support levels: 1.1250, 1.1170, 1.1100.
Resistance levels: 1.1430, 1.1530, 1.1610.




Trading tips

In the current situation short positions may be opened from the level of 1.1370 with targets at 1.1250, 1.1170 and stop-loss at 1.1420.

If the price consolidates above 1.1430, long positions could be opened with take-profits at 1.1530, 1.1610 and stop loss order at 1.1380.


Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 1.1370
Take Profit 1.1250, 1.1170
Stop Loss 1.1420
Key Levels 1.1100, 1.1170, 1.1250, 1.1430, 1.1530, 1.1610

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 1.1440
Take Profit 1.1530, 1.1610
Stop Loss 1.1380
Key Levels 1.1100, 1.1170, 1.1250, 1.1430, 1.1530, 1.1610


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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Re: Forex Expert

on Mon Jul 03, 2017 6:03 pm
PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL/NASD/S&P 500)
2017-07-03 12:53 (GMT+2)
Stocks Industry: credit services
Current trend
PayPal has made a strategic investment into the startup LendUp – financial service in the individual online lending field, for the ones, being ignored by the traditional banks. The financial conditions of the deal are not disclosed.

PayPal is testing the new function for its mobile payment application Venmo, which will let the customers buy in the traditional stores using physical debit card, linked to the application account.Last week the PayPal stocks fell by 1.21% against the decreasing of the S&P 500 index by 0.55%.The comparative analysis between the indicators of the company and its competitors suggest the neutrality of its share prices.

Key levels
During the last trading session the volatility in the #PYPL was high; still the issuer is trading in different directions. The key support and resistance levels are 52.60 and 54.20 correspondingly. At the moment the technical picture is mixed. The indicators readings are controversial: МА (50) is above МА (200); the MACD histogram consolidated in the negative zone and continues to decrease. It’s wiser to open the positions from the key levels.

Support levels: 53.40, 52.60, 51.80.
Resistance levels: 54.20, 55.00.



Trading tips
In case of the breakout and retest of the resistance level of 54.20, the global upward trend can develop to the levels of 55.40-55.75. Stop loss is at 53.60.

If the price consolidates below the level of 53.40, short positions can be opened. The price can move to the levels of 52.20-52.00. Stop loss is around 54.00.

Implementation period: 3 days.

Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 54.25
Take Profit 55.40, 55.75
Stop Loss 53.60
Key Levels 51.80, 52.60, 53.40, 54.20, 55.00

Alternative scenario
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 53.30
Take Profit 52.20, 52.00
Stop Loss 54.00
Key Levels 51.80, 52.60, 53.40, 54.20, 55.00


ООО «Компания БКС» , Лицензия №154—04434—100000 на осуществление брокерской деятельности, выдана ФСФР России.
АО «БКС Банк» , Генеральная лицензия ЦБ РФ №101  на осуществление банковских операций. Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13349-1000000,Лицензия ЦБ РФ №154-13351-010000 
BCS Prime Brokerage Limited ,regulated by FCA in the United Kingdom. Reference number 586463.
BrokerCreditService Limited ,regulated by "CySEC",Authorisation #048/04.
BCS-Forex Limited,registered number 22243 IBC 2014 by the FSA of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
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