Re: Technical Analysis and Signals

Wed Aug 12, 2015 2:21 pm

EURUSD Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
EURUSD has successfully locked-in profits at the forecasted take-profit levels at 1.1056₉, 1.1061₆ and 1.1071₀ respectively. It is now heading towards the final precalculated target at 1.1082₈.		If EURUSD fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 1.1024₀.

ENTRY	1.1047₅	TARGETS	1.1056₉	1.1061₆	1.1071₀	1.1082₈	STOP LOSS	1.1024₀

GBPUSD Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
A confirmed break-through the swing-level at 1.5533₈ will generate a sell signal. Sterling could target further downside target-levels at 1.5511₈ and 1.5500₈. A predefined initial stop loss is highly recommended at the swing's top at 1.5588₈ to minimize risk.		If GBPUSD manages to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bearish scenario will be eliminated and a buy signal will be put in place at 1.5588₈.

ENTRY	1.5533₈	TARGETS	1.5511₈	1.5500₈	1.5478₈	1.5451₃	STOP LOSS	1.5588₈

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GOLD Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
After Gold has achieved all forecasted take-profit levels, it is now trading at extreme overbought area.		If Gold fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 1109.44.

ENTRY	1113.14	TARGETS	1114.62	1115.36	1116.84	1118.69	STOP LOSS	1109.44

OIL Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
Oil is currently trading between the support at 42.79 and the resistance at 43.85. A surge of the market above the key resistance at 43.85 will impose a bullish outlook, triggering a buy signal with immediate targets at 44.27 and 44.49. A predefined initial stop loss is highly recommended at the swing's bottom at 42.79 to minimize risk.		If Oil fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 42.79.

ENTRY	43.85	TARGETS	44.27	44.49	44.91	45.44	STOP LOSS	42.79

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S&P 500 Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
S&P is negotiating between the major support level at 2053.00 and the key resistance at 2069.00. Strengthening of the positive sentiment will enable the index to breach the initial obstacle at 2069.00, opening the way to bulls to initiate long positions. Immediate price-targets are estimated at 2075.40 and 2078.60. A predefined initial stop loss is highly recommended at the swing's bottom at 2053.00 to minimize risk.		If SP500 fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 2053.00.

ENTRY	2069.00	TARGETS	2075.40	2078.60	2085.00	2093.00	STOP LOSS	2053.00

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Mon Aug 10, 2015 10:09 am

EURUSD

30 Minutes

Mon, 10 Aug 2015 08:38:27 +0300

Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
EURUSD is negotiating between the key resistance level at 1.0966₈ and the support level at 1.0949₅. A buy signal will be triggered after a successful penetration of the swing-level at 1.0966₈, with immediate targets at 1.0973₇ and 1.0977₂ respectively. A predefined initial stop loss is highly recommended at the swing's bottom at 1.0949₅ to minimize risk.		If EURUSD fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 1.0949₅.

ENTRY	1.0966₈	TARGETS	1.0973₇	1.0977₂	1.0984₁	1.0992₈	STOP LOSS	1.0949₅

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GOLD

30 Minutes

Mon, 10 Aug 2015 08:43:25 +0300

Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
The market is trading in the vicinity of the major price levels at 1089.66 and 1099.52. Any confirmed move above the swing level at 1099.52, it will signal a buy entry, targeting the take-profit levels at 1103.46 and 1105.44. A predefined initial stop loss is highly recommended at the swing's bottom at 1089.66 to minimize risk.		If Gold fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 1089.66.

ENTRY	1099.52	TARGETS	1103.46	1105.44	1109.38	1114.31	STOP LOSS	1089.66

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OIL

30 Minutes

Mon, 10 Aug 2015 08:45:00 +0300

Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
After Oil has achieved all forecasted take-profit levels, it is now trading at extreme oversold area.		If Oil manages to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bearish scenario will be eliminated and a buy signal will be put in place at 45.13.

ENTRY	44.71	TARGETS	44.54	44.46	44.29	44.08	STOP LOSS	45.13

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GBPUSD

30 Minutes

Mon, 10 Aug 2015 08:42:18 +0300

Outlook

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MACD

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Momentum

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Weighted M.A.

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Scenario 1		Scenario 2
A confirmed break-through the swing-level at 1.5500₃ will generate a buy signal. Sterling could target further upside resistance levels at 1.5509₀ and 1.5513₄. A predefined initial stop loss is highly recommended at the swing's bottom at 1.5478₅ to minimize risk.		If GBPUSD fails to withstand the sellers' pressure, the bullish scenario will be eliminated and a sell signal will be put in place at 1.5478₅.

ENTRY	1.5500₃	TARGETS	1.5509₀	1.5513₄	1.5522₁	1.5533₀	STOP LOSS	1.5478₅

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Thu Jul 23, 2015 10:10 am

2015-07-23

	EURUSD	H4	UP
Resistance	1.0972	1.1017	1.1069
Support	1.0875	1.0824	1.0779
Primary Scenario	EURUSD is now poised to retest the hurdle at 1.0972. A successful attempt to penetrate this level will fuel the pair further towards the forthcoming resistance level at 1.1017.
Alternative Scenario	A reversal back below the daily pivot point at 1.0921 will lead the currency pair to find support at 1.0875.

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	GBPUSD	H4	UP
Resistance	1.5657	1.5703	1.5762
Support	1.5553	1.5494	1.5448
Primary Scenario	The trading range is limited to the support level at 1.5553 and the resistance level at 1.5657. Any decisive movement to the north will most likely eliminate the barrier at 1.5657, with immediate target the next resistance at 1.5703.
Alternative Scenario	On the other hand, a plunge of the exchange rate below the daily pivot (1.5599) will open the way down to 1.5553.

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	USDCHF	H4	DOWN
Resistance	0.9632	0.9667	0.9703
Support	0.9561	0.9525	0.9490
Primary Scenario	The strength of the market faded and USDCHF returned below the daily pivot point at 0.9596. Any forceful bearish momentum will push prices to find support at 0.9561 and even lower at 0.9525.
Alternative Scenario	A higher thrust of the market will lift the pair to hit the hurdle at 0.9632.

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	USDJPY	H4	UP
Resistance	124.13	124.47	125.06
Support	123.84	123.56	123.04
Primary Scenario	The USDJPY pair is still negotiating above the Kumo and the bullish outlook is still in force. If the pair manages to withstand the sellers’ pressure, it will climb towards the resistance levels at 124.13 and 124.47.
Alternative Scenario	Should the pair achieve breach the support level at 123.84, it will test the upper level of the cloud at 123.56.

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	AUDUSD	H4	DOWN
Resistance	0.7420	0.7468	0.7498
Support	0.7342	0.7312	0.7265
Primary Scenario	AUDUSD is trading below the daily pivot (0.7390). Further drop of the market will lead the rate to violate the support level at 0.7342, targeting the next level at 0.7312.
Alternative Scenario	A surge of the pair above the daily pivot point will trigger the market to exceed the daily pivot. The next resistance is seen at 0.7420.

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Mon Jul 13, 2015 10:01 am

	EURUSD	H4	up
Resistance	1.1238	1.1319	1.1424
Support	1.1052	1.0948	1.0867
Primary Scenario	EURUSD is trading slightly above the daily pivot point at 1.1134. An upward wave would trigger the market to retest the hurdle in line at 1.1238 and target higher the resistance level at 1.1319.
Alternative Scenario	Should the pair manage to breach below the daily pivot, it will find support at 1.1052.

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	GBPUSD	H4	up
Resistance	1.5586	1.5661	1.5773
Support	1.5400	1.5288	1.5213
Primary Scenario	The pair has finally achieved to exceed the daily pivot at 1.5586. A sustained trading above this level will most likely lift GBPUSD towards the resistance level at 1.5586 and then higher at 1.5661.
Alternative Scenario	A setback of the exchange rate will lead the pair to violate the daily pivot, with immediate target the support level at 1.5400.

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	USDCHF	H4	up
Resistance	0.9461	0.9554	0.9620
Support	0.9302	0.9236	0.9143
Primary Scenario	USDCHF bounced up from the previous bottom and is now negotiating above the daily pivot at 0.9395. If the pair manages to withhold the sellers’ pressure, it will climb towards the resistance level at 0.9461 and 0.9554.
Alternative Scenario	A comeback of the market will see the rate below the daily pivot, targeting the support level at 0.9302.

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	USDJPY	H4	down
Resistance	122.64	123.15	123.70
Support	122.15	121.25	120.40
Primary Scenario	The pair is now testing the lower level of the cloud at 122.64. A failed attempt to penetrate this level will push prices to find support at 122.15 and further down to 121.25.
Alternative Scenario	On the other hand, a surge of USDJPY will fuel the pair to enter within the cloud. The next resistance is estimated at 123.15.

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	AUDUSD	H4	up
Resistance	0.7485	0.7534	0.7572
Support	0.7399	0.7360	0.7312
Primary Scenario	AUDUSD is gyrating the daily pivot point at 0.7447. A decisive movement to the north will generate strength for the market to target the forthcoming resistance level at 0.7485 and even higher at 0.7534.
Alternative Scenario	If the pair manages to breach the daily pivot, it will open the way down to 0.7399.

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Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:10 pm

EURUSD		H4	Up
Resistance	1.1108	1.1182	1.1241
Support	1.0976	1.0917	1.0843
Primary Scenario	EURUSD intends to surpass the hurdle at 1.1108. If that happens, the next resistance is seen at 1.1182 and then higher at 1.1241.
Alternative Scenario	A reversal back will push prices to find support at the daily pivot point (1.1049) and further down to 1.0976.

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Technical Analysis and Signals