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gandra
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Number of messages : 3554
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Date of Entry : 2013-01-13
Year : 47

Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate Announcement

on Thu Mar 05, 2015 9:50 pm
Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment rate for Friday 6th March

The USA will reports Non-Farm payrolls alongside the unemployment rate tomorrow. As soon as you see the result come through the market will have moved.  You can either:
    1. go with the market or
    2. wait to see if the market will reverse and trade
    3. there is potential to trade out of the market before expiry

Eg. EURUSD 5mins chart on 06 Feb Friday 13:30GMT Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment rate.:

Non-Farm Payrolls shows the change in number of on the payroll of all non-agricultural businesses.

The number for January was 257,000 and the expected number for this month is 241,000. Generally speaking, a high number is seen as good for the USD while a low number is seen as negative for the USD.

A number that significantly diverges from the expected number (241,000) may cause significant volatility.

Non-Farm Payroll history :

The Unemployment Rate consensus for tomorrow is 5.6%.  A low figure is regarded is regarded as good for the USD while a high figure is perceived as week for the USD.
Binary Option Traders are in a great position to try and bank some profits from this volatility.  Remember you only need to predict the direction correctly as your profit and loss potential are fixed.

First chose your market then chose the time frame.  You can also set your default Purchase to a number you are comfortable with.  All this should be done before the news event is released.  Ensure you know what the results are expected to be.
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gandra
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Number of messages : 3554
Points : 7571
Date of Entry : 2013-01-13
Year : 47

Re: Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate Announcement

on Thu Mar 05, 2015 10:04 pm
What is Non-Farm Employment Report?

he biggest and boldest data is upon us once again and it is that time of the month that the headlines will print the most important piece of the economic data- the U.S. Non-Farm pay roll number. The data is due on Friday and the forecast is for 241K. As this number is closely watched by the Federal reserve bank in order for them to make their decision to raise the interest rate however, recently, inflation has increased its weight among other elements.

When we talk about inflation, it brings one affair in our mind, which is falling oil prices and its impact. Although monetary policy members are inclined to by-pass the transitory impact of weaker oil price, as the strength in the dollar is fading some of its impacts. A strong dollar is not really a buzzing news for the policy makers because of it deep impact on the export sector.
Check out the chart below to see what happened last month:

This state of affair looks even more ill when you compare this to euro which is down nearly 18 percent against the dollar and this naturally tilts the scale of the export demand for the euro zone. Therefore, the U.S. producers have to look beyond their instinctive means to keep their cost of production curtail. If the product is labor intensive, it becomes even more challenging as this offset the lower input cost, and the bottom line shaves off additional margin revenue. The ISM manufacturing data which has been printing lower reading for the past four consecutive months is distinctly flashing this issue for the dollar traders.

Given that ISM manufacturing data plays an important role in the GDP growth data, a stronger NFP pay roll number on Friday may actually fuel the dollar rally more and thus hurting the export sector ie ISM manufacturing.
Traders all over the world are taking advantage of these excellent trading opportunities, so make sure you stay tuned and don’t miss out!!
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