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Tehnička Analiza za 17.Januar .2014.godine

on Fri Jan 17, 2014 10:39 am
IMPORTANG ECONOMIC DATA (GMT)


EURUSD:


On the H1 chart we notice the new bearish trend line (turquoise), which was formed as a result of the bearish break through the white bullish trend line. At the same time it looks like the price is being stopped from a support at 1.3580 (red) on its way down. This closes a triangle with the turquoise bearish trend line. We have marked it with yellow. Now the price is on the turquoise bearish trend line, which appears to be the upper side of the triangle. It looks like the level resists the price for now, and this could push the price in bearish direction again. Furthermore, the formation is almost to its end and we will see a break soon.

USDJPY:


The price has broken the white bullish trend line yesterday and has dropped to the 38.2% level of Fibonacci, where it found support. After being supported at 38.2% the price started consolidating and it looks like a bearish pennant is forming (yellow). Furthermore, there is a Head and Shoulders formation forming, where the blue thick line appears to be a neckline. Moreover, we have the Momentum Indicator, which has just crossed the 100-level line in bearish direction. The more experienced traders could try a short position even now. Otherwise, waiting at least for a bearish break in the yellow flag could be a great reason to go short.

GBPUSD:


The price has been following a bearish trend line since the beginning of the week. After its last bounce from the bearish trend line, the price has dropped rapidly and started consolidating. The result of the consolidation is with a triangle shape and could bring the price even lower. The price is in the area of its previous, already broken top (purple), and it looks like it broke it back few times. The Momentum Indicator gives no clear signals for now. Every clearly stated break in the 100-level line of the Momentum Indicator could be a potential signal to open a position. A break in the yellow triangle has the same force.

USDCHF:


The price broke through the white trend line while following the Double Top formation. The Double Top made the price score a drop of 61.8%, which is one of the crucial Fibonacci Retracement Levels. Then the price increased and tested the white trend line as a resistance, bounced and dropped to 50.0% Level of Fibonacci. This creates the idea that the price might keep increasing with climbing the Retracement Level one by one. Furthermore, after testing 50.0% Level of Fibonacci, the price bounced and returned for a second test where we saw a second bounce. This second bounce confirmed a small Double Bottom formation, which is another sign that the bulls might pick up. Moreover, we have the Momentum Indicator, which is almost on the 100-level line and it is about to cross it in bullish direction.

AUDUSD:


The price has been following a bearish trend line (turquoise) since the beginning of the week. The trend line is 4 times tested and looks like a pretty stable resistance. Now the price is in a test phase and it looks like the trend line would resist the price for a fifth time. Furthermore, the Momentum Indicator has just crossed the 100-level line in bearish direction. Now looks like the perfect time to try a short position. We remind that the last bounce from the trend line brought a drop from around 140 pips. 
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Tehnička Analiza za 20.Januar .2014.godine

on Mon Jan 20, 2014 11:11 pm
 
IMPORTANT ECONOMIC EVENTS DURING THE WEEK (GMT)


EURUSD:

Gap: 4 Pips (bearish)


On D1 chart we see that the price is testing SMA150 again. The previous test of SMA150 on D1 was around 80 days ago and the price was clearly supported. From that time we had many interactions with SMA150 on different time frames (M30, H1, H4), where in most of the cases SMA150 was managing to support/resist the price, which turned it into a crucial factor for the price’s movement. At the same time, the current position of SMA150 matches with a support, which indicates one of the previous bottoms of the price. On the other hand, on D1 there is something like a Head and Shoulders formation. The neck line of the formation is already interrupted which gives a bearish signal. But in order to go short, it would be better to see a bearish break through SMA150 first. Otherwise the price might start a big correction on its bearish move for the last 20 days, or even could start a whole new bullish movement.

 

USDJPY:

Gap: 9 Pips (bearish)


The bearish break through the 3-months bullish trend (green) has set the beginning of a new bearish activity which we have indicated with a turquoise trend line. At the same time, the Momentum Indicator has crossed the 100-level line in bearish direction and the price did a big drop through the thick red line, which indicates the previous top of the price. Then the price rebounded and interacted again with the turquoise bearish trend line and bounced from it in bearish direction. The Momentum Indicator did not manage to break in bullish direction through the 100-level line during the rebound, which infers that the bearish activity is stronger than the bullish. Having in mind that the price broke through the thick red line, we might state that the bearish movement might be dominant during the week.

 

GBPUSD:

Gap: 2 Pips (bearish)


The situation by this pair is similar to the USDJPY. We have a long bullish trend line (turquoise), which got interrupted and as a result of that, a bearish trend line was formed (blue). In this case, the previous top of the price (purple thick line) was not fully broken. In a combination with the blue bearish trend line it forms something like a triangle. Now the price is in a test phase on the blue bearish trend line. At the same time, we have the Momentum Indicator testing the 100-level line. It would be better not to make any conclusions yet, before seeing if the price is going to break the blue bearish trend line, or the level will resist. If the price does even a slight break in the line, the bullish reaction would immediately appear on the Momentum Indicator.

USDCHF:

Gap: 4 Pips (bearish)


On D1 we have a clear picture of the bullish break in the 2-months white bearish trend line. We remind that the break confirmed a Double Bottom formation which pushed the price in bullish direction. Then the bullish activity was interrupted by the 0.91290 resistance level. Now the price is on this resistance for a second time and it looks like the level stood the bullish pressure of the price. Since the level resisted, that would mean that the price would bounce in bearish direction again. Furthermore, we have the Momentum Indicator, which is close to the 100-level line. On the other hand, this could be a consolidation and we might see the price drawing a shape like a Triangle or a Double Top formation. Anyway, if the price does a clear bounce from the red resistance, we could go short with a tight stop loss – right above the red resistance. Then if the price starts moving after our plan, we could adjust our stop loss until the price hits it.

 

AUDUSD:

Gap: 8 Pips (bearish)


After the bullish break through the 3-months bearish corridor, it looked like the price is going to start a new bullish move when suddenly, the already formed slight bullish trend line (white) got broken and the price dropped with around 300 Pips for the past week. The Momentum Indicator crossed the 100-level line in bearish direction and closed a Double Top formation. This is the reason why we believe that the bearish activity would be dominant during the week. The price might return to test the white bullish trend line as a resistance, but in general, the overall result looks like would be bearish.

 
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Tehnička Analiza za 21.Januar .2014.godine

on Tue Jan 21, 2014 11:40 am
EURUSD:



On the H1 chart is noticeable that the price is following a bearish trend line (turquoise), which is four times tested already. Yesterday the price has bounced from the trend line and it has returned again in the past few hours. At the same time the Momentum Indicator has crossed the 100-level line in bearish direction, which confirms the possibility of a bearish drop. The trend line and the fact that the price is on it now, give us the opportunity to go short with a tight stop (small risk). The last time the price tested the trend line was few days ago. The price did two tests again and then it dropped rapidly to the 1.35191 support. Maybe this time the price will break the red support. We remind that this support indicates one of the bottoms of the price on its way up couple of months ago.

USDJPY:



After it got out of the range of its 3-months bullish trend, the price started following a bearish trend line (turquoise) after the break. It could be clearly seen on H4 graph. The price has just bounced from the turquoise trend line3 hours ago and the bounce looks identical with the previous test and bounce from the trend line. This is the reason why we consider that the eventual bearish drop could also be identical with the precious one. Furthermore, the Momentum Indicator records a slowdown in its bearish movement.

GBPUSD:



After the huge jump of the pair as a result of a very positive Retail Sales Data from the UK, the price started consolidating. The shape of the consolidation resembles a Symmetrical Triangle and as we all know, this formation could trigger the price in both directions. Now the price is on the upper level of the triangle and it is possible to see a bullish break. Or maybe the price would return to the lower level of the formation. We should also note that the Momentum Indicator has just crossed the 100-level line in bullish direction, which is a sign for an eventual bullish jump of the price.

USDCHF:



After the second test of the 0.91290 resistance (red), which we mentioned yesterday, the price dropped as expected. The price found support in the interaction point of SMA50 and the turquoise bullish trend line, which brought the price in upper positions afterwards and increased again almost to the 0.91290 resistance. The bullish trend line and the red resistance close a triangle, which is to its end and might get interrupted at any time. Our point of view is that the resistance might appear to be stronger than the turquoise bullish trend line, because the resistance is an old level, which used to be a support 7 months ago, while the bullish trend line is one week old.

AUDUSD:



After the big drop through the white support, the price started consolidating. The consolidation has a triangle shape, where the upper side of the triangle is three times tested and the lower side is two times tested. Since the formation is to its end, the price is probably going to break in one of the directions. The consolidation and the shape of the triangle infer that the break would probably be bearish, but that is not 100% sure of course. At the same time we have the Momentum Indicator, which shows that the bulls are still the more active part of the traders. Now the price is on the lower side of the triangle again and it is testing. Maybe this would be the break?
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Tehnička Analiza za 22.Januar .2014.godine

on Wed Jan 22, 2014 10:28 am
IMPORTANT ECONOMIC EVENTS (GMT)

 

 

EURUSD:

 


On H1 graph we see that the price was supported by 1.35233 (red) for a second time and the followed jump forced the price to break its turquoise bearish trend line. With this bullish movement the price crossed a Neck Line and confirmed a Double Bottom Formation. This makes us think that in the next day or two, the price would keep the bullish direction. The Momentum Indicator is about to cross the 100-level line in bearish direction, but furtunately we are able to build a bullish trend line there (light blue), which connects its brevious two bottoms. The Momentum Indicator is likely to be supported by this line. Maybe it is a good time for long positions. If you are not very confident yet, you might wait for a signal from the Momentum Indicator.

 

USDJPY:

 


The price started reacting to a support at 103.901 and it jumped from it for three times. At the same time we see that the price is forming something like a triangle (yellow), which might appear to be a trigger for the price in any direction. At the same time we have the Momentum Indicator, which confirms the possibility of a further bullish movement. We should be extremey careful when the price interacts with the purple bearish trend, because a bullish break could appear at any time and eventual short positions could turn into a disappointment.

 

GBPUSD:

 

 

After the price broke through the 7-months bullish trend line, a quick rebound appeared and the price returned to test the big trend line as a resistance. The price started crawling on the bottom side of the already broken trend line afterwards. The followed two bottoms could ne connected with a line, where we might expect eventual support. At the same time, the Momentum Indicator gives bullish signals, which means that the price might continue following the bottom side of the already broken white bullish trend line. At the same time supports might be found in the purple line, which means that the overall movement of the price is more likely to be bullins.

 

USDCHF:

 

 

On the H1 chart we see that the price follows a 1-month bullish trend line (turquoise) and it has just jumped from it. Having in mind that the trend line has been tested many times, it is very likely to witness a bullish movement. At the same time, the Momentum indicator gives bullish signals, which are in a harmony with the price's graph. We should not forget that SMA50 (yellow) is still a line which the price conforms to, so we should be careful while determining supports and resistances.

 

AUDUSD:

 


After its rapid drop, the price started consolidating. If you take a closer look to the consolidation of the price, you would realise that it resembles a reversed Head and Shoulders formation. With the release of the economic data from Australia during the night, the formation got confirmed and now, according to the reversed Head and Shoulders rules, we could expect a bullish movement for at least 40 more pips. The Momentum Indicator is still on the side of the bullis but it is in the uppermost position of the indicator, which infers that we might see a correction soon
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Tehnička Analiza za 20.februar.2014

on Thu Feb 20, 2014 10:38 am
20.02.2014
UR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.372

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.372 with targets @ 1.3775 & 1.38 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.372 look for further downside with 1.369 & 1.365 as targets.

Comment: The pair has rebounded above its support and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.6735.
  
 Pivot: 1.6735

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.6735 with targets @ 1.663 & 1.66 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.6735 look for further upside with 1.676 & 1.6825 as targets.

Comment: as long as 1.6735 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias. The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 102.4.
  
 Pivot: 102.4

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 102.4 with targets @ 101.75 & 101.5 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 102.4 look for further upside with 102.75 & 103.05 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: key resistance at 0.8995.
  
 Pivot: 0.8995

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.8995 with targets @ 0.8925 & 0.89 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.8995 look for further upside with 0.9045 & 0.908 as targets.

Comment: the break below the support at 0.8995 triggered a downward acceleration to 0.89.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: intraday support around 1307.
  
 Pivot: 1307

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1307 with targets @ 1322 & 1332 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1307 look for further downside with 1297 & 1286 as targets.

Comment: a support base at 1307 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Mar 14) Intraday: further advance.
  
 Pivot: 102.45

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102.45 with targets @ 104 & 104.5 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102.45 look for further downside with 101.75 & 101.3 as targets.

Comment: a support base at 102.45 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
  
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Re: Forex Serbia D. T. A.

on Fri Feb 21, 2014 9:13 am
21.02.2014

EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1.373

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.373 with targets @ 1.369 & 1.367 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.373 look for further upside with 1.3745 & 1.3775 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance as the RSI is capped by a declining trend line.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.6695.
  
 Pivot: 1.6695

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.6695 with targets @ 1.662 & 1.66 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.6695 look for further upside with 1.6735 & 1.676 as targets.

Comment: The pair is capped by a declining trend line and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 102

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102 with targets @ 102.75 & 103.05 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102 look for further downside with 101.65 & 101.35 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is approaching its previous high.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: caution.
  
 Pivot: 0.8955

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.8955 with targets @ 0.902 & 0.9045 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.8955 look for further downside with 0.8925 & 0.89 as targets.

Comment: the immediate trend remains up but the momentum is weak. Intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bounce.
  
 Pivot: 1307

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1307 with targets @ 1332 & 1338 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1307 look for further downside with 1297 & 1286 as targets.

Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Apr 14) Intraday: further advance.
  
 Pivot: 102

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102 with targets @ 103.3 & 103.9 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102 look for further downside with 101.3 & 100.8 as targets.

Comment: a support base at 102 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
  
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Tehnička Analiza za 04.April.2014.godine

on Fri Apr 04, 2014 11:20 am
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1.3755

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.3755 with targets @ 1.3675 & 1.3655 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.3755 look for further upside with 1.3785 & 1.382 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1.662

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.662 with targets @ 1.655 & 1.6505 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.662 look for further upside with 1.6645 & 1.668 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 103.7

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 103.7 with targets @ 104.1 & 104.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 103.7 look for further downside with 103.4 & 102.95 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 103.7 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: key resistance at 0.9255.
  
 Pivot: 0.9255

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9255 with targets @ 0.92 & 0.918 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9255 look for further upside with 0.93 & 0.934 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 0.9255 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 0.92 remains high.
  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1277

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1277 with targets @ 1294 & 1299 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1277 look for further downside with 1272 & 1265 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (May 14) Intraday: further advance.
  
 Pivot: 98.85

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 98.85 with targets @ 100.85 & 101.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 98.85 look for further downside with 98.3 & 97 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
  
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Tehnička Analiza za 15.April.2014.godine

on Tue Apr 15, 2014 11:07 am
EUR/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.384

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.384 with targets @ 1.38 & 1.377 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.384 look for further upside with 1.3865 & 1.388 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.675.
  
 Pivot: 1.675

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.675 with targets @ 1.669 & 1.666 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.675 look for further upside with 1.679 & 1.682 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 101.5

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.5 with targets @ 102.15 & 102.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.5 look for further downside with 101.2 & 100.8 as targets.

Comment: The pair has rebounded above its support and remains on the upside as the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 0.9375.
  
 Pivot: 0.9375

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9375 with targets @ 0.9425 & 0.946 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9375 look for further downside with 0.933 & 0.929 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 0.9375 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation. The pair is supported by a rising trend line.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1314

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1314 with targets @ 1333 & 1342 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1314 look for further downside with 1295 & 1281 as targets.

Comment: A rising channel has formed.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (May 14) Intraday: bullish bias above 102.95.
  
 Pivot: 102.95

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102.95 with targets @ 104.55 & 105.7 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102.95 look for further downside with 102 & 100.75 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 102.95 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
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Tehnička Analiza za 06.Maj.2014.godine

on Tue May 06, 2014 10:17 am
EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.385

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.385 with targets @ 1.389 & 1.3905 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.385 look for further downside with 1.3835 & 1.381 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is approaching its previous top.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.686

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.686 with targets @ 1.69 & 1.692 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.686 look for further downside with 1.6845 & 1.682 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is approaching its previous top.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 102.25

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 102.25 with targets @ 101.8 & 101.65 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 102.25 look for further upside with 102.5 & 102.75 as targets.

Comment: The pair has struck against its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: intraday support around 0.9245.
  
 Pivot: 0.9245

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9245 with targets @ 0.9315 & 0.935 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9245 look for further downside with 0.92 & 0.918 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 0.9245 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1291

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1291 with targets @ 1331 & 1342 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1291 look for further downside with 1273 & 1254 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Jun 14) Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 100.5

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 100.5 with targets @ 98.75 & 97.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 100.5 look for further upside with 102.2 & 102.95 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 100.5 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 98.75 remains high.
  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
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Tehnička Analiza za 08.Maj.2014.godine

on Thu May 08, 2014 10:36 am
EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.395.
  
 Pivot: 1.395

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.395 with targets @ 1.3885 & 1.387 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.395 look for further upside with 1.3975 & 1.401 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its previous top and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.7.
  
 Pivot: 1.7

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.7 with targets @ 1.692 & 1.6895 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.7 look for further upside with 1.703 & 1.7065 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its previous top and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 101.5

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.5 with targets @ 102 & 102.2 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.5 look for further downside with 101.3 & 101.05 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above a bearish trend line.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: further upside.
  
 Pivot: 0.931

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.931 with targets @ 0.938 & 0.9425 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.931 look for further downside with 0.925 & 0.92 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance. Prices have just broken above a bearish trend line.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1315

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1315 with targets @ 1273 & 1254 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1315 look for further upside with 1331 & 1342 as targets.

Comment: As long as 1315 is resistance, expect a return to 1273.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Jun 14) Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
  
 Pivot: 98.75

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 98.75 with targets @ 102.2 & 102.95 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 98.75 look for further downside with 97.45 & 96.65 as targets.

Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.

  
 
 
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Tehnička Analiza za 15.Maj.2014.godine

on Thu May 15, 2014 10:04 am
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
x
  
 Pivot: 1.375

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.375 with targets @ 1.367 & 1.364 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.375 look for further upside with 1.3785 & 1.381 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1.682

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.682 with targets @ 1.675 & 1.672 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.682 look for further upside with 1.6855 & 1.6885 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is approaching its support.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 102.1

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 102.1 with targets @ 101.6 & 101.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 102.1 look for further upside with 102.35 & 102.55 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.935

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.935 with targets @ 0.941 & 0.946 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.935 look for further downside with 0.9315 & 0.928 as targets.

Comment: The RSI calls for a new upleg. The pair validated a Falling Wedge: a bullish pattern.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
  
 Pivot: 1289

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1289 with targets @ 1315 & 1331 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1289 look for further downside with 1276 & 1254 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 1289 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) Intraday: further upside.
  
 Pivot: 101.5

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.5 with targets @ 102.95 & 103.8 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.5 look for further downside with 100.35 & 99.9 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

  
 
 
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Tehnička Analiza za 21.April.2014.godine

on Wed May 21, 2014 11:04 am
EUR/USD Intraday: intraday support around 1.368.
  
 Pivot: 1.368

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.368 with targets @ 1.3735 & 1.375 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.368 look for further downside with 1.3645 & 1.362 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is well directed. The pair is drawing a consolidation in a 1.368-1.3735 trading range area.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.68.
  
 Pivot: 1.68

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.68 with targets @ 1.6875 & 1.6905 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.68 look for further downside with 1.676 & 1.673 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just landed on its neutrality area at 50% and is turning up.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 101.05.
  
 Pivot: 101.05

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.05 with targets @ 101.7 & 101.9 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.05 look for further downside with 100.75 & 100.3 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 101.05 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.9275

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9275 with targets @ 0.92 & 0.9175 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9275 look for further upside with 0.9315 & 0.9345 as targets.

Comment: As long as 0.9275 is resistance, likely decline to 0.92. Caution: the 60-min RSI is posting a bullish divergence: a break above 0.9275 would trigger a quick recovery.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1289.
  
 Pivot: 1289

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1289 with targets @ 1307 & 1315 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1289 look for further downside with 1276 & 1254 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) Intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
  
 Pivot: 102

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102 with targets @ 103.1 & 104 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102 look for further downside with 101.27 & 100.85 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 102 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 
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Tehnička Analiza za 22.Maj.2014.godine

on Thu May 22, 2014 10:01 am
EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.37.
  
 Pivot: 1.37

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.37 with targets @ 1.364 & 1.362 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.37 look for further upside with 1.372 & 1.3735 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited. Indeed, the 1.37 resistance area maintains a bearish bias.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
  
 Pivot: 1.6845

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.6845 with targets @ 1.6935 & 1.697 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.6845 look for further downside with 1.68 & 1.678 as targets.

Comment: The immediate trend remains up and the momentum is strong.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 101.25.
  
 Pivot: 101.25

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.25 with targets @ 101.9 & 102.1 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.25 look for further downside with 101.05 & 100.8 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside. In addition, the upside breakout of the 101.6 resistance area is a positive signal.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: turning up.
  
 Pivot: 0.9205

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9205 with targets @ 0.929 & 0.9315 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9205 look for further downside with 0.9175 & 0.915 as targets.

Comment: The RSI calls for a new upleg. The 20 and 50-period moving averages crossed upward, this calls for a recovery.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: key resistance at 1297.
  
 Pivot: 1297

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1297 with targets @ 1283 & 1276 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1297 look for further upside with 1307 & 1315 as targets.

Comment: As long as 1297 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (N4) Intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
  
 Pivot: 102.35

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102.35 with targets @ 104.75 & 105.55 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102.35 look for further downside with 101.55 & 100.85 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

  
 
 
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Re: Forex Serbia D. T. A.

on Mon Jun 23, 2014 10:27 am
EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.356

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.356 with targets @ 1.363 & 1.365 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.356 look for further downside with 1.3535 & 1.351 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above a key resistance and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: further advance.
  
 Pivot: 1.7

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.7 with targets @ 1.706 & 1.709 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.7 look for further downside with 1.698 & 1.695 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding above its support as the RSI is well directed.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 101.85.
  
 Pivot: 101.85

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.85 with targets @ 102.15 & 102.3 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.85 look for further downside with 101.7 & 101.6 as targets.

Comment: The pair is facing a pull back on its support ahead of a rebound.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.9375

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9375 with targets @ 0.9445 & 0.9465 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9375 look for further downside with 0.9345 & 0.932 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1300.
  
 Pivot: 1300

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1300 with targets @ 1332 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1300 look for further downside with 1285 & 1271 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: further upside.
  
 Pivot: 106.3

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 106.3 with targets @ 107.7 & 108.3 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 106.3 look for further downside with 105.35 & 104.85 as targets.

Comment: The RSI broke above a bearish trend line.

  
 
 
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Tehnička Analiza za 24.Jun.2014.godine

on Tue Jun 24, 2014 10:07 am
EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
  
 Pivot: 1.356

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.356 with targets @ 1.3615 & 1.363 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.356 look for further downside with 1.3535 & 1.351 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its support.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
  
 Pivot: 1.7

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.7 with targets @ 1.706 & 1.709 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.7 look for further downside with 1.698 & 1.695 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding above its support.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 102

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 102 with targets @ 101.7 & 101.6 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 102 look for further upside with 102.15 & 102.3 as targets.

Comment: The pair is posting a rebound but stands below its resistance.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.9405

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9405 with targets @ 0.9445 & 0.9465 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9405 look for further downside with 0.9375 & 0.9345 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 0.9405 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1300.
  
 Pivot: 1300

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1300 with targets @ 1332 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1300 look for further downside with 1285 & 1271 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 106.7

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 106.7 with targets @ 104.85 & 104.25 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 106.7 look for further upside with 107.5 & 108 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.

  
 
 
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Re: Forex Serbia D. T. A.

on Wed Jun 25, 2014 8:59 am
EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
x
  
 Pivot: 1.358

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.358 with targets @ 1.363 & 1.365 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.358 look for further downside with 1.356 & 1.3535 as targets.

Comment: The pair has rebounded above its support and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.
x
  
 Pivot: 1.7

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.7 with targets @ 1.695 & 1.6915 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.7 look for further upside with 1.7035 & 1.706 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 101.8.
  
 Pivot: 101.8

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.8 with targets @ 102 & 102.15 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.8 look for further downside with 101.7 & 101.6 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 101.8 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 0.9405

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9405 with targets @ 0.9345 & 0.9325 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9405 look for further upside with 0.9445 & 0.9465 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1306.
  
 Pivot: 1306

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1306 with targets @ 1332 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1306 look for further downside with 1285 & 1271 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 1306 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: further upside.
  
 Pivot: 106.1

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 106.1 with targets @ 107.5 & 108.1 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 106.1 look for further downside with 105.7 & 105.25 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

  
 
 
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Re: Forex Serbia D. T. A.

on Thu Jun 26, 2014 2:35 pm
Intraday

Pre US Open, Daily Technical Analysis Thursday, June 26, 2014

EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
x
  
 Pivot: 1.365

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.365 with targets @ 1.3595 & 1.358 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.365 look for further upside with 1.367 & 1.369 as targets.

Comment: The pair is breaking below its support and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: rebound.
  
 Pivot: 1.697

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.697 with targets @ 1.7035 & 1.706 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.697 look for further downside with 1.695 & 1.6925 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding and is breaking above its resistance.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 102

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 102 with targets @ 101.6 & 101.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 102 look for further upside with 102.15 & 102.3 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is challenging its previous low.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.9355

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9355 with targets @ 0.943 & 0.9445 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9355 look for further downside with 0.9325 & 0.93 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just landed on its neutrality area at 50% and is turning up.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1306.
  
 Pivot: 1306

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1306 with targets @ 1332 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1306 look for further downside with 1300 & 1285 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 1306 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: caution.
  
 Pivot: 106.85

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 106.85 with targets @ 105.25 & 104.85 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 106.85 look for further upside with 107.5 & 108.1 as targets.

Comment: Intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.

  
 
 
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Re: Forex Serbia D. T. A.

on Fri Jun 27, 2014 8:39 am
27.06.2014     08:38:14


EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
x
  
 Pivot: 1.36

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.36 with targets @ 1.365 & 1.367 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.36 look for further downside with 1.358 & 1.356 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above a key resistance and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: further upside.
x
  
 Pivot: 1.7

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.7 with targets @ 1.706 & 1.708 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.7 look for further downside with 1.697 & 1.695 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its previous top.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the downside prevails.
x
  
 Pivot: 101.8

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 101.8 with targets @ 101.3 & 101.15 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 101.8 look for further upside with 102 & 102.15 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken below its previous low and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
x
  
 Pivot: 0.939

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.939 with targets @ 0.9445 & 0.9465 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.939 look for further downside with 0.9375 & 0.935 as targets.

Comment: The RSI broke above a declining trend line.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1306.
x
  
 Pivot: 1306

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1306 with targets @ 1332 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1306 look for further downside with 1300 & 1285 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 1306 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 106.85

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 106.85 with targets @ 104.85 & 104.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 106.85 look for further upside with 107.5 & 108.1 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed.

  
 
 
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Daily Technical Analysis - Pre EU Open - 1st July 2014

on Tue Jul 01, 2014 10:07 am
EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
 
  
 Pivot: 1.365

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.365 with targets @ 1.372 & 1.375 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.365 look for further downside with 1.362 & 1.36 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its support and remains supported by a rising trend line.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
  
 Pivot: 1.705

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.705 with targets @ 1.713 & 1.716 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.705 look for further downside with 1.7 & 1.697 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its strong support and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 101.6.
  
 Pivot: 101.6

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 101.6 with targets @ 101.15 & 101 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 101.6 look for further upside with 101.8 & 102 as targets.

Comment: The pair is posting a rebound but stands below its resistance.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
  
 Pivot: 0.9405

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9405 with targets @ 0.9475 & 0.9495 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9405 look for further downside with 0.9385 & 0.935 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside. The pair has pushed above a declining trend line.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: further advance.
  
 Pivot: 1306

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1306 with targets @ 1333 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1306 look for further downside with 1300 & 1285 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 106.2

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 106.2 with targets @ 104.7 & 104.25 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 106.2 look for further upside with 106.85 & 107.5 as targets.

Comment: As long as 106.2 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

  
 
 
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Pre EU Open - 2nd July 2014

on Wed Jul 02, 2014 8:55 am
EUR/USD Intraday: turning down.
  
 Pivot: 1.37

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.37 with targets @ 1.365 & 1.362 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.37 look for further upside with 1.372 & 1.375 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken below a rising trend line and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.7115

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.7115 with targets @ 1.72 & 1.7235 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.7115 look for further downside with 1.709 & 1.705 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its strong support and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 101.35

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.35 with targets @ 101.8 & 102 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.35 look for further downside with 101.2 & 101 as targets.

Comment: The pair is rebounding and is supported by a rising trend line.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 0.9435.
  
 Pivot: 0.9435

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9435 with targets @ 0.9505 & 0.953 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9435 look for further downside with 0.941 & 0.9385 as targets.

Comment: The pair has pushed above a declining trend line.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1306

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1306 with targets @ 1333 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1306 look for further downside with 1300 & 1285 as targets.

Comment: The metal remains on the upside challenging its resistance at 1333.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 106.1

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 106.1 with targets @ 104.6 & 104.25 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 106.1 look for further upside with 106.85 & 107.5 as targets.

Comment: As long as 106.1 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
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Pre EU Open - 3rd July 2014

on Thu Jul 03, 2014 9:39 am
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1.3675

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.3675 with targets @ 1.3635 & 1.362 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.3675 look for further upside with 1.37 & 1.372 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
 
  
 Pivot: 1.7115

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.7115 with targets @ 1.72 & 1.7235 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.7115 look for further downside with 1.709 & 1.705 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its strong support and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 101.65

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.65 with targets @ 102 & 102.15 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.65 look for further downside with 101.5 & 101.35 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above its new support and remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.9425

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9425 with targets @ 0.935 & 0.9325 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9425 look for further upside with 0.9465 & 0.9505 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1306

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1306 with targets @ 1333 & 1350 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1306 look for further downside with 1300 & 1285 as targets.

Comment: The next resistances are at 1333 and then at 1350.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 105.5

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 105.5 with targets @ 103.65 & 103.1 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 105.5 look for further upside with 106.1 & 106.85 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 105.5 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 103.65 remains high.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
  
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Tehnička Analiza za 04/07/2014

on Fri Jul 04, 2014 9:46 am
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 1.364

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.364 with targets @ 1.359 & 1.357 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.364 look for further upside with 1.3675 & 1.37 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.7115

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.7115 with targets @ 1.7175 & 1.72 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.7115 look for further downside with 1.709 & 1.705 as targets.

Comment: The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 101.8

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.8 with targets @ 102.3 & 102.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.8 look for further downside with 101.65 & 101.5 as targets.

Comment: The pair is facing a pull back but remains on the upside.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.9425

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9425 with targets @ 0.9325 & 0.929 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9425 look for further upside with 0.9465 & 0.9505 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: consolidation in place.
  
 Pivot: 1333

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1333 with targets @ 1309 & 1304 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1333 look for further upside with 1350 & 1365 as targets.

Comment: As long as 1333 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 104.7

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 104.7 with targets @ 103.65 & 102.95 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 104.7 look for further upside with 105.55 & 106.1 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 104.7 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 103.65 remains high.

  
 
 
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
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Daily Technical Analysis - Pre US Open - 7th July 2014

on Mon Jul 07, 2014 1:41 pm
EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.3615.
  
 Pivot: 1.3615

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.3615 with targets @ 1.3575 & 1.355 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.3615 look for further upside with 1.364 & 1.3675 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: consolidation in place.
  
 Pivot: 1.718

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.718 with targets @ 1.7115 & 1.709 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.718 look for further upside with 1.72 & 1.7235 as targets.

Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 101.8.
  
 Pivot: 101.8

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 101.8 with targets @ 102.3 & 102.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 101.8 look for further downside with 101.65 & 101.5 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited. Indeed, the pair is seen as drawing a consolidation a slightly declining channel ahead of another up move.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.941

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.941 with targets @ 0.9325 & 0.929 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.941 look for further upside with 0.9445 & 0.9505 as targets.

Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: consolidation in place.
  
 Pivot: 1321

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1321 with targets @ 1309 & 1304 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1321 look for further upside with 1333 & 1350 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: under pressure.
 
  
 Pivot: 104.25

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 104.25 with targets @ 103.65 & 102.95 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 104.25 look for further upside with 104.65 & 105.35 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 104.25 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 103.65 remains high.

  
 
 
  Disclaimer
  
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The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
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Daily Technical Analysis - Pre EU Open - 8th July 2014

on Tue Jul 08, 2014 9:56 am
EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.3615.
  
 Pivot: 1.3615

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.3615 with targets @ 1.3575 & 1.355 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.3615 look for further upside with 1.364 & 1.3675 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 1.3615 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.3575 remains high. The pair is currently drawing a flat consolidation in a 1.3615-1.3575 trading range area.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 1.715

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.715 with targets @ 1.7105 & 1.709 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.715 look for further upside with 1.718 & 1.72 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just broken below a rising trend line. In addition, the pair is trading in a bearish channel.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure.
  
 Pivot: 102

Most Likely Scenario: Short @ 101.78 with targets @ 101.65 & 101.5 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 102 look for further upside with 102.25 & 102.45 as targets.

Comment: As long as 102 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
  
 Pivot: 0.941

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.941 with targets @ 0.9325 & 0.929 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.941 look for further upside with 0.9445 & 0.9505 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: key resistance at 1321.
  
 Pivot: 1321

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1321 with targets @ 1309 & 1304 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1321 look for further upside with 1333 & 1350 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 1321 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1309 remains high.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: rebound in sight.
  
 Pivot: 102.95

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102.95 with targets @ 104.05 & 104.65 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102.95 look for further downside with 102.35 & 102.05 as targets.

Comment: The RSI calls for a rebound.

  
 
 
  Disclaimer
  
 Copyright
The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
  
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Global Moderator
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Broj poruka : 3639
Points : 7509
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Pre EU Open - 9th July 2014

on Wed Jul 09, 2014 11:01 am
EUR/USD Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
  
 Pivot: 1.3575

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.3575 with targets @ 1.364 & 1.366 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.3575 look for further downside with 1.355 & 1.3535 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line. The pair is trading in a bullish channel.

  
 
 

 GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.7145.
  
 Pivot: 1.7145

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.7145 with targets @ 1.711 & 1.708 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.7145 look for further upside with 1.718 & 1.72 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has failed to break above its bearish trendline.

  
 
 

 USD/JPY Intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
  
 Pivot: 101.8

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 101.8 with targets @ 101.35 & 101.2 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 101.8 look for further upside with 102 & 102.25 as targets.

Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum. The pair is capped by its 50-period moving average and a declining trend line.

  
 
 

 AUD/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 0.9365.
  
 Pivot: 0.9365

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9365 with targets @ 0.9445 & 0.9465 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9365 look for further downside with 0.9325 & 0.929 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.

  
 
 

 Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1309.
  
 Pivot: 1309

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1309 with targets @ 1325 & 1333 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1309 look for further downside with 1304 & 1298 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

  
 
 

 Crude Oil (NYMEX) (Q4) Intraday: rebound expected.
  
 Pivot: 102.95

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 102.95 with targets @ 103.95 & 104.65 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 102.95 look for further downside with 102.35 & 102.05 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 102.95 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

  
 
 
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 Copyright
The information contained herein is produced by ‘TRADING Central’ and not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product. Any opinion offered in this material reflects the opinion of ‘TRADING Central’ and this is subject to change without notice. ‘TRADING Central’ is an investment research provider (http://www.tradingcentral.com/start.asp?p=quisommesnous).
  
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